Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004755 0.005264 0.005792 0.006379 0.007012 0.007674 0.008417
2024-12-22 0.004007 0.004738 0.005534 0.006463 0.007512 0.008656 0.009995
2024-12-29 0.003606 0.004473 0.005451 0.006630 0.008005 0.009548 0.011403
2025-01-05 0.003325 0.004293 0.005420 0.006815 0.008483 0.010400 0.012754
2025-01-12 0.002930 0.003933 0.005135 0.006663 0.008533 0.010727 0.013476
2025-01-19 0.002659 0.003697 0.004974 0.006633 0.008708 0.011188 0.014348
2025-01-26 0.002399 0.003452 0.004779 0.006541 0.008788 0.011521 0.015057
2025-02-02 0.002205 0.003275 0.004654 0.006524 0.008950 0.011946 0.015876
2025-02-09 0.002026 0.003104 0.004524 0.006486 0.009075 0.012318 0.016629
2025-02-16 0.001940 0.003052 0.004546 0.006643 0.009448 0.013007 0.017788
2025-02-23 0.001772 0.002873 0.004383 0.006543 0.009478 0.013250 0.018377
2025-03-02 0.001651 0.002753 0.004295 0.006535 0.009623 0.013639 0.019156
2025-03-09 0.001607 0.002745 0.004364 0.006752 0.010082 0.014459 0.020523
2025-03-16 0.001524 0.002673 0.004340 0.006835 0.010360 0.015042 0.021591
2025-03-23 0.001475 0.002650 0.004382 0.007010 0.010765 0.015801 0.022903
2025-03-30 0.001434 0.002637 0.004438 0.007203 0.011199 0.016603 0.024283
2025-04-06 0.001304 0.002472 0.004256 0.007044 0.011126 0.016712 0.024728
2025-04-13 0.001217 0.002370 0.004167 0.007013 0.011234 0.017066 0.025506
2025-04-20 0.001122 0.002248 0.004037 0.006917 0.011240 0.017276 0.026087
2025-04-27 0.001051 0.002164 0.003963 0.006899 0.011358 0.017641 0.026885
2025-05-04 0.000981 0.002076 0.003877 0.006859 0.011440 0.017954 0.027612
2025-05-11 0.000958 0.002068 0.003922 0.007023 0.011827 0.018706 0.028963
2025-05-18 0.000883 0.001963 0.003800 0.006918 0.011807 0.018871 0.029488